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Структурный гороскоп
Циклы Кондратьева
Общемировые события
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К содержанию
Ореховский П. А., Дьяченко А. П., Сухинин И. В.

Оценка влияния экзогенных и эндогенных факторов на механизм циклов Кондратьева
(промежуточный отчет по гранту).

V. Приложения

Приложение 1

Spectral analysis: RUSSIA

 FrequencyPeriodCosine coeffsSine coeffsPeriodogDensityParzen weights
00.000000 0.320480.000004.622608.8300.000000
10.01111190.00000-5.764082.675571817.2451644.6620.166667
20.02222245.00000-5.24163-5.493452594.3712496.5360.666667
30.03333330.000006.90912-3.760532784.4882598.3100.166667
40.04444422.500000.989686.348161857.5361772.2840.000000
50.05555618.00000-3.046810.17218419.072679.219 
60.06666715.00000-3.20542-1.32606541.491606.013 
70.07777812.857141.49745-4.595011051.040890.327 
80.08888911.250003.309921.51515596.307676.113 
90.10000010.00000-0.272883.70303620.409705.590 
10 0.1111119.00000-4.799751.625541155.5991110.423 
11 0.1222228.18182-1.94668-5.268791419.7361306.225 
12 0.1333337.500004.70053-0.435551002.809936.803 
13 0.1444446.923080.247182.03904189.845348.294 
14 0.1555566.42857-2.292851.42205327.572260.484 
15 0.1666676.000001.12494-0.35978 62.772317.118 
16 0.1777785.62500-5.318311.067181324.0471217.872 
17 0.1888895.294121.23679-6.462611948.2731704.310 
18 0.2000005.000004.94956-0.374291108.7191412.882 
19 0.2111114.736841.74021 6.596072094.1442008.612 
20 0.2222224.50000-7.41497-1.431382566.3802411.225 
21 0.2333334.285715.21050-4.437142107.6881980.521 
22 0.2444444.09091-0.292094.42759885.997969.424 
23 0.2555563.913040.86708-1.70643164.867310.139 
24 0.2666673.75000-1.240082.33888315.369248.660 
25 0.2777783.600001.012600.65793 65.620255.877 
26 0.2888893.46154-4.45956-1.17822957.415787.274 
27 0.3000003.333333.95884-1.65400828.364753.467 
28 0.3111113.214290.151462.35182249.930394.027 
29 0.3222223.10345-3.003511.70052536.076427.746 
30 0.3333333.00000-0.19314-1.94686172.240242.546 
31 0.3444442.90323-2.02076-1.01634230.240275.179 
32 0.3555562.812503.00903-1.82839557.876433.335 
33 0.3666672.727271.585080.74845138.270256.412 
34 0.3777782.64706-0.098613.08070427.519367.602 
35 0.3888892.57143-2.63381-1.00114357.267317.633 
36 0.4000002.500000.82611-0.64114 49.209109.400 
37 0.4111112.43243-1.34001-0.69114102.299116.850 
38 0.4222222.368422.20680-0.72337242.695216.184 
39 0.4333332.30769-0.006072.23122224.026307.689 
40 0.4444442.25000-3.94442-0.40019707.337767.392 
41 0.4555562.195121.43271-5.693291550.9791296.851 
42 0.4666672.142863.418262.76507869.855870.836 
43 0.4777782.09302-1.276401.64185194.618385.238 
44 0.4888892.04545-2.88772-2.52914663.096759.806 
45 0.5000002.000006.167720.000001711.8331362.254 

Spectral analysis: USA

 FREQUENCYPERIODCOSINE COEFFSSINE COEFFSPERIODOGDENSITYHAMMING
00.000000 0.000000.000000.000026.35850.035714
10.01063894.00000-0.72912-0.5335138.364151.99790.241071
20.02127747.000001.52172-0.16156110.0614113.20960.446429
30.03191531.333330.110702.03446195.1111176.37770.241071
40.04255323.50000-0.61121-2.06586218.1431216.85740.035714
50.05319118.800001.912311.25536245.9433241.5168 
60.06383015.66667-1.978041.25600258.0387258.9912 
70.07446813.428571.15179-2.14620278.8401262.4103 
80.08510611.750000.118682.37530265.8382221.1842 
90.09574510.444440.949630.8931379.8759170.9021 
100.1063839.40000-1.691181.09531190.8097228.5398 
110.1170218.545450.98582-2.84313425.5960332.6135 
120.1276607.833331.422132.26521336.2203356.4674 
130.1382987.23077-1.72983-2.14009355.8985363.6958 
140.1489366.714292.168591.39454312.4340476.4505 
150.1595746.26667-3.534302.70402930.7386616.1338 
160.1702135.87500-0.23608-2.95911414.1684507.6030 
170.1808515.529412.45439-1.25410357.0487300.5982 
180.1914895.22222-0.58712-0.5569530.7805119.5567 
190.2021284.94737-0.14066-0.6285419.497630.8006 
200.2127664.70000-0.279270.265346.974612.4031 
210.2234044.476190.33462-0.180986.802227.3116 
220.2340434.272730.71389-0.7697451.800994.2870 
230.2446814.08696-2.001371.26499263.4671176.6606 
240.2553193.916671.80582-0.41174161.2346210.1271 
250.2659573.76000-0.679661.99284208.3674310.8090 
260.2765963.615381.95056-3.10326631.4414490.0232 
270.2872343.481480.789373.11053484.0284620.9241 
280.2978723.35714-4.546720.67021992.7268629.6996 
290.3085113.24138-0.03704-1.86772164.0180386.1556 
300.3191493.13333-1.27228-1.73002216.7478199.9675 
310.3297873.032261.55195-0.14202114.1505117.9669 
320.3404262.937500.614780.1853319.378485.6960 
330.3510642.84848-1.386770.77095118.3223160.1421 
340.3617022.764711.67588-2.25651371.3185257.2853 
350.3723402.685711.832911.42692253.5963218.3450 
360.3829792.61111-0.79232-0.2598532.6787117.6014 
370.3936172.54054-1.319900.5929098.402494.1956 
380.4042552.47368-1.56370 -0.68606137.044592.9128 
390.4148942.410260.30370-0.287428.217575.0389 
400.4255322.350001.54114-0.72212136.139382.0210 
410.4361702.29268-0.91522-0.5944255.975879.3544 
420.4468092.23810-0.21127-0.6903424.4968144.3454 
430.4574472.18605-1.71674-2.48911429.7152283.9017 
440.4680852.136362.18080-1.43942320.9076295.5088 
450.4787232.088891.839790.81562190.3526206.4449 
460.4893622.04348-0.58193-0.8876352.9465190.8334 
470.5000002.000003.086750.00000447.8177239.0430 


Приложение 2

Correlations

 UKUSA FRANCEGERMITALYJAPANCANADARUSSIA
UK1.000.520.420.200.440.310.17-0.16
USA 0.521.000.600.030.520.200.33-0.14
FRANCE0.420.601.000.170.610.250.51-0.08
GERM0.200.030.171.000.350.270.360.09
ITALY0.440.520.610.351.000.260.24-0.12
JAPAN0.310.200.250.270.261.000.04-0.10
CANADA0.170.330.510.360.240.041.000.19
RUSSIA-0.16-0.14-0.080.09-0.12-0.100.191.00

 GERMITALYJAPANCANADARUSSIA
GERM1.000.300.170.530.28
ITALY0.301.000.250.350.04
JAPAN0.170.251.000.01 -0.04
CANADA0.530.350.011.000.38
RUSSIA0.280.04 -0.040.381.00


Приложение 3

Cross-Correlation Function

 CROSS_CORSTD. ERR.
-15-0.0190650.112509
-140.0133610.111803
-130.1323820.111111
-120.1560300.110432
-110.1459520.109764
-100.0414090.109109
-9 -0.0518260.108465
-8 -0.0840350.107833
-7 0.0705190.107211
-6 0.1389220.106600
-5 0.0132530.106000
-4 -0.0437880.105409
-3 -0.0924760.104828
-2 -0.1121810.104257
-1 -0.0210650.103695
00.2176340.103142
10.0047320.103695
2-0.0525660.104257
3-0.2860270.104828
4-0.1674230.105409
5-0.1269100.106000
6-0.0766140.106600
70.1074510.107211
8-0.0001960.107833
90.1015570.108465
10 0.0868200.109109
11 0.0621260.109764
12 0.0732700.110432
13 0.1035520.111111
14 -0.0046890.111803
15 -0.1109950.112509

 CROSS_CORSTD. ERR.
-150.0547020.112509
-140.0540470.111803
-130.0927100.111111
-120.0845130.110432
-110.2018020.109764
-10-0.0105530.109109
-9 -0.1094690.108465
-8 -0.2430110.107833
-7 -0.2227270.107211
-6 -0.2537100.106600
-5 -0.2073160.106000
-4 -0.3016920.105409
-3 -0.0765790.104828
-2 0.1225140.104257
-1 0.0470030.103695
00.1413360.103142
10.0157920.103695
20.3556430.104257
30.0892070.104828
4-0.0474490.105409
5-0.0366060.106000
6-0.0157960.106600
70.1542740.107211
80.0052190.107833
90.1363650.108465
10 0.0283890.109109
11 0.0808030.109764
12 0.1547340.110432
13 0.1098590.111111
14 0.0091920.111803
15 0.0139760.112509

 CROSS_CORSTD. ERR.
-150.1465050.112509
-14-0.0410520.111803
-130.0396620.111111
-120.0433910.110432
-110.1462000.109764
-10-0.0212940.109109
-9 0.1690760.108465
-8 0.1818370.107833
-7 0.0779600.107211
-6 -0.0761940.106600
-5 0.1306640.106000
-4 -0.0533640.105409
-3 -0.1969820.104828
-2 0.0845000.104257
-1 0.0380960.103695
00.0255350.103142
1-0.0336800.103695
20.2157100.104257
3-0.0739520.104828
4-0.1061850.105409
5-0.0053480.106000
60.0422950.106600
70.0012520.107211
80.0149100.107833
90.0291900.108465
10 -0.2005380.109109
11 -0.1711520.109764
12 0.0155560.110432
13 0.0795270.111111
14 -0.0192110.111803
15 0.2995990.112509


Приложение 4


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